5 things you didn't know about York's Dante Festival (Day 1)
May 14th, 2013
GB fly the Musidora Flag
8 of the last 14 winners of the Musidora Stakes were British Bred. This is from 27 runners and represents a 21.6% strike rate and is 25% better than expected in terms of winners. In contrast Irish Bred horses have won just 3 of the last 14 renewals from a pool of 41 runners. This is 47% worse than expected. Todays 6 runner field is made up of 5 British Bred runners and 1 Irish Bred in Liber Nauticus
Short breaks in the Musidora
9 of th last 14 Musidora Stakes winners had a run in the last month before winning this race. That's 35% better than the expected 6 winners. This year we have 4 runners coming off a break of a month or less, Discernable, Romantic Settings, Hollowina and Woodland Aria.
Golden Gosden
Trainer John Gosden has won 2 Musidora's from 4 attempts and also had a placed horse in one of the years he did not win it. This year he runs Woodland Aria.
Experience wins the day in the Duke of York
In the Duke of York Stakes horses aged 5 or older have a much better record than 3 and 4 year olds. 5yo+ horses have won 11 of the last 16 renewals from a pool of 130 runners. This is 26% above expectations and you could have backed them all for a £19 profit to Sp for a £1 stake on each. On the flip side 3 and 4yo's have won the remaining 5 renewals from 86 runners, which is 30% worse than expected.
Weight no burden in the Duke of York
The top or joint top weights in the Duke of York Stakes have won 5 of the last 16 renewals form a pool of just 54 runners over those 16 years. This is 19% better than expected and produced a profit of £43 to a £1 stake. The joint top weighted runners this year are Society Rock and Gordon Lord Byron.