5 things you didn't know about the Victoria Cup
May 10th, 2013
Young Guns
4 year olds have won 7 of the last 14 renewals of the Victoria Cup from 120 runners. This is 20 better than expected and will narrow the field by around half the runners.
Front of the Market
1st or 2nd favourites (including joints) have won 6 of the last 14 renewals of the Victoria Cup from 29 runners for a 20.7% strike rate and a profit to a £1 bet at SP of £15.25. This is 64% higher than the expected 3.6 winners.
Held Up
9 of the last 14 winners were held up in the Victoria Cup. This is 36% higher than expectations.
Last Time Out Course
10 of the last 14 winners of the Victoria Cup ran at either Newmarket, Kempton or Newbury last time out. This is 60% higher than the expected winners of 6.24.
Mini Angle
Linking a run last time out at the 3 courses above with the 4 year old statistic results in 5 winners from the last 14 renewals from just 48 runners. Backing all 48 qualifiers in the win market would have produced a profit of £39 to a £1 stake at SP with winners at 11/4, 5/1, 16/1, 25/1 and 33/1. A further 7 of those 48 runners placed at odds ranging from 9/2 to 50/1. There are 6 qualifiers for this mini angle running in this years Victoria Cup, they are:- Rebellious Guest, Glen Moss, Radio Gaga, Dream Tune, Haaf A Sixpence and Solar Deity.