Age

Horses aged 5 (four), 6 (four), 7 (five) as a population have won 13 of the 19 renewals, a 15% better than expected performance. 5yo’s are slightly profitable at exchange and Industry starting prices.

 

The Market

The favourite has won 9 races, and horses ranked first three in the market have won 16 of the 19 renewals.Horses who were favourite or second favourite in their race prior to the Tingle Creek have won 16 of the 19 renewals. A performance 20% above expectation.

 

Pace of the Race 

Horses who raced prominently in their race prior to the Tingle Creek have won on 14 occasions, 49% higher than what you would have expected given a normal sequence of events. Contrast this against the population of horses that were raced ‘held’ up (50) who have won on 4 occasions. Statistically this result is 35% below normal expectation.

 

Days Since Last Run

Our racing software revealed that horses returning from a layoff of 150+ days account for 7 of the last 19 winners of the race. However looking at the data from a different perspective, horses that had no runs in in the month leading up to the Tingle Creek notched up 13 of the last 19 winners.

 

Last Time Out Course

Horses who ran at Exeter (6), Cheltenham (3), Aintree (3) and Sandown (2) in their previous race have won 14 Tingle Creeks.

Surprisingly, horses who races raced at Ascot last time out account for one win from a population of 19 horses.