The Lanzarote Hurdle Unpicked by Proform

January 10th, 2015

The Lanzarote is a National Hunt Handicap Hurdle race open to horses aged four years or older.

The race occurs at Kempton over a distance of about 2 miles and 5 furlong.

With an eye on Cheltenham Races, Make A Stand (1997) is the only Lanzarote winner who has gone on to win a race at the festival in March of the same year.

In what looks like a competitive race this year, we have analysed our horse race statistics since 1997 and after profiling each winner, our horse racing software revealed the following key trends.

 

Age

Winners have been aged 5 (four), 6 (nine), 7 (three), 8 (one).

Combined 5yo’s and 6yo’s perform 49% above normal and yield a profit of £47 to a £1 stake at Betfair starting prices. A return on investment of 44.34%.

Qualifiers: Kilcooley, Dell' Arca, Warrantor, Tea For Two, Hello George

 

The Market

Although there have been some big priced winners down the years, the first three in the market combined have yeilded 10 of the last 17 winners, 21% above normal

Qualifiers: Tea For Two, Hello George, Warrantor

 

Running Style

As the running of the race unfolds, from the population of horses that like to run  prominately,  9  have gone on to win which is 47% above normal.

You can identify horses with different running styles easily using our pace maps which can be found in our Proform racecards in addition to our horse ratings.

 

Qualifiers: Sporting Boy, Ballybough Pat, Foxcub, Heath Hunter, Tea For Two, Hello George, Warrantor

 

Starting Price in Recent Race

Horses ranked in the first three in the betting in their recent race have won 13 of the last 17 renewals.

Since 1997, their combined profit is £33 to a £1 stake at Betfair starting prices. A return on investment of 30.95%.

Qualifiers: Hammersly Lake, Shotavodka, Warrantor, Tea For Two, Heath Hunter

 

Finishing Position in Recent Race

As one of the key cornerstones of contender selection, form leading into this race is a significant factor and horses that were victorious in their race prior the Lanzarote have won on 8 occasions from a population of 55 horses. A 28% better than expected performance.

Qualifiers:  Kilcooley, Warrantor, Tea For Two

 

Courses for Lanzarote Hurdle Horses

Horses that raced at Kempton (4), Newbury (3), Wetherby (2) and Wincanton (2) in their race prior to the Lanzarote (11 wins in total) perform 120% higher than expectation.

Qualifiers: Hammersly Lake, Saffron Wells, Sporting Boy