Considered by punters as the curtain raiser to the National Hunt season, the Paddy Power Gold Cup is a Grade 3 National Hunt chase in Great Britain which is open to horses aged four years or older.

From Senor El Betrutti in 1997 to John’s Sprit in 2013, using Proform we have analysed every race to identify the following facts, stats and trends and note horses entered in this year’s race that qualify in each category researched.

 

Country of Breeding

Irish bred horse have the upper hand with ten Paddy Power Gold Cups wins to their name. A 49% better than normal performance. French bred horses have won the race seven times.

From a population of 66 GB bred horses we have yet to see a winner from this population. 

Qualifiers: Oscar Whisky, Johns Spirit, Champion Court, Shanpallas, Cantlow, Eastlake, Buywise, Persian Snow, Indian Castle, Orpheus Valley, Ericht, King Massini

 

Age Ranges

Eleven winners in total from horses aged 6 (four) and 7 (seven). Collectively their performance is 39% better than normal.

Qualifiers: Johns Spirit, Edgardo Sol, Kapga De Cerisy, Shanpallas, Buywise, Present View, Indian Castle, Cedre Bleu

 

 

Betting Market

The front three in the betting have won the race on twelve occasions with the favourite accounting for six of these wins, a 54% better than expected performance and profit to a £1 stake at Betfair starting prices of £13.13, 77.26% ROI

Horses that were first three in the betting in the previous race have won the Paddy Power on fourteen occasions, a 21% better than expected performance returning a level stakes profit at Betfair starting prices of £40.83, 26.69% ROI.

First three in betting in previous race qualifiers: Oscar Whisky, Johns Spirit, Champion Court, Kapga De Cerisy, Shanpallas, Buywise, Present View, Attaglance, Indian Castle, Cedre Bleu

 

Recent Form

Form leading up to the race seems like a prerequisite with eight Paddy Power Gold Cup winners finishing first in the previous start. Horses that finished second accounted for three winners.

Qualifiers: Johns Spirit, Kapga De Cerisy, Shanpallas, Buywise

 

Previous Course

Horses than ran at Cheltenham or Aintree in their previous race have won eleven Paddy Power Gold Cups in total (seven and four respectively).

Horses than ran at Carlisle account for three wins however the last horse that met this criteria was Little Josh in 2010 who won the Paddy Power at odds of 20/1.

Qualifiers: Oscar Whisky, Johns Spirit, Edgardo Sol, Champion Court, Easter Meteor, Present View, Persian Snow, Indian Castle, Ericht

 

Selections

All things considered including the ground our two against the field are BUYWISE and PERSIAN SNOW

Good Luck